Will Western Illinois cover the spread vs. Valparaiso? Betting Trends, Record ATS

Posted by Admin November 21, 2023 Basketball

The Valparaiso Beacons (2-2) are favored by 2.5 points against the Western Illinois Leathernecks (2-2) on Tuesday, November 21, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 137.5.

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Western Illinois vs. Valparaiso Odds & Info

Date: Tuesday, November 21, 2023
Time: 8:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Valparaiso, Indiana
Venue: Athletics-Recreation Center

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Favorite	Spread	Over/Under
Valparaiso	-2.5	137.5

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Leathernecks Betting Records & Stats

Western Illinois’ games last season had a combined scoring total higher than 137.5 points 20 of 26 times.
The average over/under for Leathernecks contests last year was 145.4, 7.9 more points than this game’s point total.
Against the spread, the Leathernecks were 14-12-0 last year.
Western Illinois was underdogs 14 times last season and won five, or 35.7%, of those games.
The Leathernecks had a record of 4-10, a 28.6% win rate, when they were set as an underdog of +120 or more by bookmakers last season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 45.5% chance of a victory for the Leathernecks.

Western Illinois vs. Valparaiso Over/Under Stats

	2022-23 Games Over 137.5	2022-23 % of Games Over 137.5	2022-23 Average PPG	Combined Average PPG	Average Opponent PPG	Combined Average Opponent PPG	Average Total
Valparaiso	19	65.5%	68.9	141.9	73.6	146	139.5
Western Illinois	20	76.9%	73	141.9	72.4	146	147.1

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Additional Western Illinois Insights & Trends

The Leathernecks’ 73 points per game last year were just 0.6 fewer points than the 73.6 the Beacons allowed to opponents.
Western Illinois put together an 8-4 ATS record and a 13-3 overall record last season in games it scored more than 73.6 points.

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Western Illinois vs. Valparaiso Betting Splits

	2022-23 ATS Record	2022-23 ATS Record Against 2.5+ Point Spread	2022-23 Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Valparaiso	12-17-0	4-2	17-12-0
Western Illinois	14-12-0	8-6	13-13-0

Western Illinois vs. Valparaiso Home/Away Splits (Last Season)

Valparaiso		Western Illinois
8-7	Home Record	10-4
2-12	Away Record	5-9
6-6-0	Home ATS Record	7-4-0
5-9-0	Away ATS Record	7-7-0
72.5	Points Scored Per Game (Home)	80.4
67	Points Scored Per Game (Away)	66.1
7-5-0	Over-Under-Push Record (Home)	8-3-0
9-5-0	Over-Under-Push Record (Away)	5-9-0

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